A May Election?

[Stooo]

The tory press throws the first grenade at 'two houses' Rayner to little interest, meanwhile the other side digs out Frank Hester, his £10M donation to the tories as well as...

Biggest Tory donor said looking at Diane Abbott makes you ‘want to hate all black women’

I somehow doubt that this will be an equal battle when it comes down to self-serving sleaze, wait until they cotton on to Odey

[Avon Barksdale]

Seems unlikely. That would be like turkeys voting for Christmas...

Think the Conservatives will hope for a good summer to limit their losses at a General Election at the least.

[Stooo]

Seems unlikely. That would be like turkeys voting for Christmas...

Think the Conservatives will hope for a good summer to limit their losses at a General Election at the least.

And give the R parties more leverage?

[Iteats]

Seems unlikely. That would be like turkeys voting for Christmas...

Think the Conservatives will hope for a good summer to limit their losses at a General Election at the least.

Limit their losses there doesn't seem much likelihood of that, unless the Great British public prove how dumbed down they have become and fall for Boris J's (I hear he's coming back to campaign on the Red Wall) bullshit again.

[Guest]

Seems unlikely. That would be like turkeys voting for Christmas...

Think the Conservatives will hope for a good summer to limit their losses at a General Election at the least.

Limit their losses there doesn't seem much likelihood of that, unless the Great British public prove how dumbed down they have become and fall for Boris J's (I hear he's coming back to campaign on the Red Wall) bullshit again.

If the election is in May it would be May 2 which is 7 weeks away.

An election campaign is generally 6-8 weeks so we're nearing the deadline for a May 2 election.

[Stooo]

They don't have to declare this until June, I'm sure it will go down well...



https://www.tortoisemedia.com/2024/03/1 ... ank-hester

[Stooo]

Off they trot...

[Iteats]

https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/full-list-mp ... -election/
The MPs who are standing down at the election: Full list of those quitting the Commons


Conservative 62
Labour 17

Labour are crumbling

[Avon Barksdale]

Seems unlikely. That would be like turkeys voting for Christmas...

Think the Conservatives will hope for a good summer to limit their losses at a General Election at the least.

And give the R parties more leverage?

Looks that way...

I've seen a recent poll with Labour 28 points ahead and Reform only 5 points behind them now. This could be very, very bad for the Conservatives.

[Stooo]

Seems unlikely. That would be like turkeys voting for Christmas...

Think the Conservatives will hope for a good summer to limit their losses at a General Election at the least.

And give the R parties more leverage?

Looks that way...

I've seen a recent poll with Labour 28 points ahead and Reform only 5 points behind them now. This could be very, very bad for the Conservatives.

This will be very bad for them, delaying it will add to the attrition. I've heard rumours of October but the tory vote will be a wasteland after the Summer recess.

‘I want my country back’: what’s in a phrase?
Lee Anderson’s decision this week to join the Reform Party, becoming its first, if unelected, MP brought into focus several of the Brexit themes I’ve been writing about in recent months. At the beginning of October, discussing the ways that Brexit has driven the Tory Party mad, I made specific reference to Anderson, then the Deputy Chairman, as illustrating how there are no discernible differences between many sections of the Tory Party and Reform. So, given the prompt of losing the Tory whip, it was an obvious move for him to make. It’s possible that other Tory MPs will follow him to Reform without that spur to action, but none have done so yet. And why should they? It is now obvious to all, as it should have been for a while, that, as I wrote in February 2023, Brexitism is eating Conservatism.

Thus the end-game for the Brexitist (or NatCon populists, or Five Families, or whatever label we might use for them) is to take complete control of the Tory Party after it loses the election, and then to bring Reform Party voters and politicians, perhaps including Nigel Farage, into an invigorated ‘true Conservative’ Party. Meanwhile, the job of Reform is to siphon off as much as possible of the vote, so as to inflict a catastrophic defeat upon Sunak, facilitating the Brexitist takeover and paving the way for an actual or effective merger. Who knows, Anderson himself may re-enter the Tory fold in the process. Or perhaps he will disappear into well-deserved oblivion, a footnote in dusty volumes of political history.

https://chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.co ... hrase.html

[Stooo]

Sums it up...

[Cactus Jack]

I think we're now probably looking at an October election.

The Tories won't want a summer election because in term time the votes, and the campaigning energy of some very motivated students, will be concentrated in urban areas where the Universities are and the Labour Party are already strong. In summer those students and their energy will be distributed across the Tory shires.

[Stooo]

I think we're now probably looking at an October election.

The Tories won't want a summer election because in term time the votes, and the campaigning energy of some very motivated students, will be concentrated in urban areas where the Universities are and the Labour Party are already strong. In summer those students and their energy will be distributed across the Tory shires.

The trust in the postal service has gone with older people and the postal vote option because of communism (union action) rather than mismanagement at an upper level, I obviously can't give my opinion. This provides a perfect storm in the gerrymandered photo ID polling booths that they refuse to visit because of having to show a selfie on official forms because they can't be arsed and never had to before.

Mogg admitted that this was a bullet to the foot.

[Cactus Jack]

I think we're now probably looking at an October election.

The Tories won't want a summer election because in term time the votes, and the campaigning energy of some very motivated students, will be concentrated in urban areas where the Universities are and the Labour Party are already strong. In summer those students and their energy will be distributed across the Tory shires.

The trust in the postal service has gone with older people and the postal vote option because of communism (union action) rather than mismanagement at an upper level, I obviously can't give my opinion. This provides a perfect storm in the gerrymandered photo ID polling booths that they refuse to visit because of having to show a selfie on official forms because they can't be arsed and never had to before.

Mogg admitted that this was a bullet to the foot.

The photo-id thing is just a bad idea.

Even the choice of what is and is not suitable shows the intent - you senior citizen's bus pass is valid but for some reason your Student Union Card is not.

[Stooo]

I think we're now probably looking at an October election.

The Tories won't want a summer election because in term time the votes, and the campaigning energy of some very motivated students, will be concentrated in urban areas where the Universities are and the Labour Party are already strong. In summer those students and their energy will be distributed across the Tory shires.

The trust in the postal service has gone with older people and the postal vote option because of communism (union action) rather than mismanagement at an upper level, I obviously can't give my opinion. This provides a perfect storm in the gerrymandered photo ID polling booths that they refuse to visit because of having to show a selfie on official forms because they can't be arsed and never had to before.

Mogg admitted that this was a bullet to the foot.

The photo-id thing is just a bad idea.

Even the choice of what is and is not suitable shows the intent - you senior citizen's bus pass is valid but for some reason your Student Union Card is not.

Proof of age is different.